Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.766646 3.192478 3.663014 4.221706 4.867305 5.590301 6.462021
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.263692 2.837460 3.526036 4.414115 5.530694 6.890167 8.674521
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.855946 2.500047 3.330661 4.482242 6.041202 8.083855 10.973163
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.530679 2.198839 3.117678 4.476880 6.443256 9.195737 13.361238
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.238428 1.884919 2.826900 4.304277 6.573887 9.946786 15.374326
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.010709 1.621132 2.558491 4.108973 6.624844 10.573656 17.295090
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.886366 1.492482 2.469654 4.167961 7.067715 11.856912 20.448272
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.756116 1.331258 2.300909 4.064686 7.221064 12.685180 22.975409
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.704033 1.293167 2.329498 4.298060 7.982144 14.652501 27.811766
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.645642 1.233740 2.310125 4.439432 8.595046 16.442791 32.616216
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.578536 1.147139 2.227202 4.446591 8.951884 17.803332 36.811066
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.495315 1.016466 2.041176 4.222764 8.816930 18.182695 39.083676
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.462957 0.985245 2.050428 4.404999 9.560500 20.491473 45.905221
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.439832 0.969769 2.089747 4.657903 10.499322 23.369546 54.517277
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.406096 0.926138 2.063202 4.763530 11.133478 25.694085 62.316238
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.369452 0.870214 2.001312 4.779193 11.565113 27.634198 69.575282
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.324698 0.788498 1.868825 4.607748 11.523863 28.459488 74.246063
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.284209 0.710575 1.733310 4.406294 11.373392 28.990694 78.256819
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.264236 0.680100 1.707285 4.474672 11.920101 31.361592 87.600470
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.237175 0.627458 1.618568 4.366774 11.986394 32.499360 93.779467
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.230451 0.626941 1.662622 4.619891 13.074475 36.555196 109.047284
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.219429 0.613164 1.669871 4.773399 13.911649 40.063253 123.402279
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.203333 0.582889 1.628189 4.781967 14.333663 42.463674 134.872649